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How Does Jrue Stack Up?

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Lots of discussion about Jrue Holiday recently, so I thought I'd undertake a project I've wanted to do for a while.  In the preseason, Doug Collins famously said that Jrue would one day be a top-5 point guard in the NBA.  That hasn't exactly come true yet, though we've seen flashes.  But where exactly does Jrue rank among his peers (NBA starting point guards)?
To answer that question, I've compiled around 40 stats from three sites (basketball-reference.com, 82games.com, and hoopdata.com).  The first and third sites have up-to-date stats; the second site's stats are over a week old now.  I've divided the stats into three tables for easier digestion.  For each stat, I've listed Jrue's number, his ranking among the 30 starting point guards in the league, the average among all the starting point guards, and the best and worst values among all starting point guards.  I'll give commentary after each table.

JH Rank Avg Best Worst
PER 15.8 22 17.5 25.6 9.1
PER2 16.3 22 18.4 28.9 9.5
OPP PER2 18.8 22 17.2 10.9 22.2
PER2 DIF -2.5 23 1.2 12.9 -12.4
MPG 35.2 10 32.8 38.8 22.7
Usage % 21.9 15 21.6 31.3 13.2
2P FG % 46.9 17 46.4 55.7 35.6
3P FG % 36.5 16 35.1 47.6 8.3
eFG % 48.7 17 49.2 58.1 42.6
OPP eFG % 49.9 22 49.0 40.4 54.2
TS % 52.9 22 54.4 63.1 45.5
FT % 79.4 23 81.8 92.0 46.0
FT/48M 4.31 20 5.19 10.61 1.22

This table lists some general statistics.  "PER" is John Hollinger's official Player Efficiency Rating stat.  "PER2" is 82games.com's version of PER (usually 1-2 higher), and "OPP PER2" is their calculation of opponent PER.  Jrue is below average in all of these stats.  Usage % measures what percentage of a team's possessions get "used" by a player (either shots or turnovers); Jrue ranks about average there.  Jrue is also around average in several other shooting categories (2P FG%, 3P FG%, eFG% = effective field goal %) but below average in a few others (opponent eFG%, TS% = true shooting %, and free throw %).  His rate of drawing fouls is also below average.

The next table is for shot distribution, using data from hoopdata.com and 82games.com.  hoopdata.com divides shot types into 4 categories based on distance from the hoop (At Rim, < 10 ft, 10-15 ft, 16-23 ft, and 3-pointers).  82games.com divides shot types into jump shots and inside shots.  For each shot type, I list frequency (percentage of total field goal attempts that is that type) and percentage (what field goal percentage for that shot type).  

JH Rank Avg High Low
At Rim Freq 28.0 11 23.9 43.0 3.7
At Rim FG% 61.9 10 59.6 76.9 48.4
< 10 Freq 16.8 7 12.4 18.0 3.4
< 10 FG% 36.6 26 43.4 64.0 25.0
10-15 Freq 9.6 12 9.1 18.9 2.5
10-15 FG% 36.7 19 36.2 14.3 47.1
16-23 Freq 22.4 23 28.2 59.3 18.3
16-23 FG% 40.0 14t 38.7 48.0 19.0
3P Freq 23.2 18 26.3 58.5 5.1
Jump Freq 71.0 18 75.4 97.0 53.0
Jump eFG% 45.0 17 45.7 58.2 33.2
Inside Freq 29.0 11t 24.6 47.0 3.0
Inside eFG% 55.6 23 59.9 80.4 48.6

This table shows that Jrue generally does a good job getting "short two's" -- he's above average in "At Rim," "< 10," and "10-15" attempt frequency as well as Inside attempt frequency.  Unfortunately, he is below average in converting "short two's" other than At Rim attempts.  He does a good job at limiting his long two's (16-23), and his 3-pointer frequency is reasonable for his make percentage.

The final table lists passing, rebound, and steals statistics.

JH Rank Avg Best Worst
AR 28.4 17 30.5 48.9 21.3
TOR 12.2 25 11.0 8.0 14.4
A:TO 2.34 22 2.78 4.13 1.91
A:BP 3.9 25 4.6 6.7 2.8
A:Shot 0.48 17t 0.55 1.33 0.31
ST % 2.0 15t 2.0 4.2 0.8
ST:TO 0.47 21 0.56 1.50 0.19
OR % 3.0 7 2.2 5.1 0.6
DR % 8.5 23t 9.5 13.5 6.7
TR % 6.2 10t 5.9 8.3 3.7

"AR" stands for "Assist Rate," the percentage of possessions ending in an assist for the player.  "TOR" is "Turnover Rate," the percentage of possessions ending in a turnover.  A:TO is assist-to-turnover ratio.  A:BP is assist-to-bad-pass ratio.  Jrue is slightly below average to below average in all of these stats.  A:Shot is my own statistic measuring the ratio of assists to shot attempts (FGA + 0.44*FTA), a measure of how often a player passes vs. shoots.  Jrue shoots slightly more than the average among his peers.  Steal percentage measure the percentage of defense possessions ending in a steal for the player.  ST:TO is steal-to-turnover ratio.  Jrue is average in steal percentage, below average in steal-to-turnover ratio (mostly because of below-average turnover rate).  DR% = defensive rebound percentage, the percentage of available defensive rebounds attained by a player.  OR% and TR% are offensive and total rebound percentages, respectively.  Jrue is an above-average offensive rebounder and below-average defensive rebounder; he is above average in total rebounding because of his offensive rebounding.

Looking at the rankings cumulatively (not all stats are "quality" stats, but most are), Jrue probably ranks around 20th out of 30 starting point guards over a broad range of stats.  I'll leave it to you to think about (a) whether any of these stats surprise you and (b) what meaning you take out of these stats [if anything].  I've sent the spreadsheet with the raw data to Brian, in case anyone is curious. (Download it here). 
by Statman on Jan 19 2011
Tags: Basketball | Jrue Holiday | Point Guards | Sixers | Statman |