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Andre Iguodala Stat Rankings

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Subtitle: what the Sixers are trading away.

A few days ago, I wrote a post detailing Jrue Holiday's statistical performance in 2010-11 versus the other starting point guards in the league.  Now I move from arguably the most popular Sixer to arguably the least popular Sixer, Andre Iguodala (more fans want him gone than Hawes, right?).  The methodology is the same: compare Iguodala to his fellow starting small forwards (SFs) in the league in a variety of statistics and see where he ranks.  In each row of the tables below is a statistic, Iguodala's value for that statistic, Iguodala's ranking among 30 starting SFs for that statistic, the mean of that statistic over 30 starting SFs, and the best and worst values for that statistic over 30 starting SFs.  I chose the starting SF for each team based on the SF with the most starts, which was usually the SF with the most minutes.  An average ranking for a given statistic is 15th or 16th.  One general note:  there were more horrible SFs in the league (around 5, including Outlaw, Gomes, Weems, Anthony Parker, and Ariza) than starting PGs (only Bibby and Fisher really).  However, the "average" starting SF (Prince, Dorell Wright, Grant Hill were right around average PER, for example) was still quite good.

The stats are drawn from five sources:  82games.com, basketball-reference.com, basketballvalue.com, hoopdata.com, and mysynergysports.com.

The first table lists "overall" performance.  "Min Pct" is percentage of team minutes played.  "PER" is Player Effeciency Rating and "PER2" is 82games.com's version of it.  "WS" is Win Shares.  "OFR" is Offensive Rating and "DFR" is Defensive Rating (as reported by basketball-reference.com), both based on team points per 100 possessions of court time; "OFR2" and "DFR2" are 82games.com's slightly different versions of those stats.  "ON/OFF CT" is team point differential while the player is on or off the court.  "Simple Rating" is 82games.com's aggregation of PER differential and On/Off Court differential. Iguodala's average ranking over the 19 non-redundant stats in this table was about 7th.  He ranked very highly in all defensive categories, including 82games.com's opponent PER ("OPP PER2"), where he was #1 in the entire league among starters, on-court DFR (#5), net DFR (#2), and defensive win shares (also #5).  He also ranked highly in offensively-oriented statistics that take into account overall performance, such as PER (#7), win shares (#6), and "Simple Rating" (#4).  He had no rankings lower than 19th.

AI9 Rank Avg Best Worst
MIN PCT 62 10t 56 81 25
PER 17.3 7 15.1 27.3 8.8
OWS 3.3 10 2.8 10.3 -0.4
DWS 3.4 5 2.3 5.3 0.0
WS 6.7 6t 5.1 15.6 -0.4
WS/48 0.130 7 0.104 0.244 -0.011
PER2 18.3 7 16.0 29.4 9.0
OPP PER2 9.8 1 14.0 9.8 18.8
PER2 DIF 8.5 4 1.9 18.5 -7.0
ON CT 3.2 9 0.6 10.2 -11.5
OFF CT -1.3 15 -1.3 -11.3 9.8
ON/OFF NET 4.5 7 1.9 16.4 -9.7
SIMP RAT 7.2 4 1.9 15.7 -6.2
OFR2 107 19t 109 114 101
DFR2 104 5t 108 100 117
NET/48 3.2 9 0.6 10.2 -11.5
OFR ON 106.4 18* 107.7 113.2 100.2
OFR OFF 105.9 14t* 105.6 96.5 112.2
OFR NET 0.5 18t* 2.0 14.0 -5.1
DFR ON 103.0 5* 107.1 99.4 115.2
DFR OFF 107.1 14t* 106.8 113.7 99.9
DFR NET 4.1 2* -0.3 4.5 -4.9
NET ON 3.4 8* 0.6 11.1 -11.4
NET OFF -1.2 15t* -1.1 -11.9 9.8
NET DIFF 4.6 6t* 1.7 17.8 -9.3
* = rankings out of 28 players (stats for Gay and Battier missing)


The second table lists shooting and scoring statistics.  "EFG" is effective field goal percentage (takes into account 2-point and 3-point field goals), while "TS Pct" is true shooting percentage (also takes into account free throws).  "Jump Freq" and "Inside Freq" are the percentage of shot attempts that are jump shots vs. inside shots.  Usage rate is the percentage of team possessions used by the player (based on FG attempts and turnovers).  Iguodala's average ranking over the 9 positive stats in this table (not including Jump/Inside Freq and Usage Rate) was 18th.  His EFG (21st), TS Pct (20th), and 2-point Pct (16th) were below average and below his standards, partly caused by his not being at full strength most of the year (and thus lacking his usual explosion).  His Jump EFG (22nd) and 3-point Pct (22nd) were also low as expected.  His Free Throw Pct (27th) was inexcusably low.  Despite this below-average performance, his Inside EFG was good (7th) and his FTA/48 was also good (10th).  In a more typical (i.e., healthy) year, Iguodala's would have more inside attempts and better shooting stats across the board.  It's a legitimate question as to whether he will ever return to the shooting form of 08-09, though (odds are in his favor that he's not on a permanent downhill slide at age 28).  Note that the overall ranking of 18th for the shooting/scoring table was the same as Jrue achieved.

AI9 Rank Avg High Low
EFG 48.6 21 50.0 57.9 42.7
TS Pct 53.0 20t 54.4 62.0 46.9
Jump Freq 78 15 75.9 94 53
Jump EFG 42.8 22 45.6 55.8 37.7
Inside Freq 22 16 24.1 47 6
Inside EFG 68.6 7 63.4 77.5 46.7
2P Pct 47.9 16 48.1 44.0 41.2
3P Pct 33.7 22 34.9 44.2 15.2
FT Pct 69.3 27 77.8 89.3 64.5
FTA/48 5.8 10 5.0 11.3 1.9
Pts/48 18.4 18 20.5 34.1 12.5
Usage Rate 19.2 15 20.0 31.5 10.1


The third table lists "secondary" statistics, based on passing, rebounding, steals, and blocks.  Assist Rate and Turnover Rate are from Hoopdata.com and are percentages of assists/turnovers relative to team possessions.  "Ast:BP" is assist-to-bad-pass ratio (excluding ball-handling turnovers), while "Ast:TO" is assist-to-turnover ratio (including all turnovers).  "Ast:Shot" is assists-to-shot-attempts, a measure of how often a player shoots vs. passes.  "STB:TO" is steals-plus-blocks-to-turnover ratio (a measure of possessions gained to possessions lost, though not all blocks lead to change-of-possession).  Rebound rates are percentages of rebounds relative to available rebounds.  Iguodala's average ranking over the 12 positive stats in this table (not including Ast:Shot) was 11th.  The average rankings were weighed down by low rankings in the turnover categories (25th and 20th), which occurred because he handled the ball much more than other SFs, and in offensive rebounding.  On the plus side, he was above average at defensive rebounding and steals, as he has always been.  And the passing categories verify that Iguodala was the best passing forward in the NBA this past year.  LeBron had more assists but many more turnovers.  Further analysis shows that he had a historically good season.  Since the NBA started keeping turnover statistics in 77-78, there have been 45 player seasons in which a player averaged more than 6.29 assists/game (Iguodala had 6.298) and fewer than 2.06 turnovers/game (Iguodala had 2.0597) -- it happens less than twice per year, and Iguodala was the first to do it since 07-08.  The most amazing fact:  Iguodala is the only forward on that list.  Statistical manipulations using basketball-reference.com's play index are fun and sometimes misleading, but being the only player to do something positive (and not too specific) is impressive.
 
AI9 Rank Avg Best Worst
Ast Rate 41.0 2 18.3 41.7 9.6
Ast/48 8.20 2 3.74 8.68 1.71
A:TO 3.06 1 1.62 3.06 0.81
A:BP 6.5 1 3.6 6.5 1.7
A:Shot 0.56 1 0.23 0.56 0.11
TOV Rate 13.4 25t 11.3 7.1 15.0
TOV/48 2.68 20 2.42 1.26 4.45
ST/48 1.96 5 1.47 2.47 0.56
BL/48 0.74 17 0.86 1.87 0.07
STB:TO 1.01 12 1.05 2.22 0.42
OR Rate 2.9 21 3.8 9.0 1.6
DR Rate 15.2 10 13.9 20.9 7.6
TR Rate 9.0 14 8.9 14.2 5.5


Finally, the last table lists man-to-man defensive statistics from Synergy.  Big thanks again to Brian for compiling these stats. [Note from Brian: These stats from Synergy include playoff numbers. Meaning Iguodala has an extra 5 games guarding LeBron and Wade. LeBron has an extra 19 games, etc. Probably a handicap for the guys who made the playoffs, considering they defended better competition for the extra games]  "PPP" stands for points-per-possession.  "Iso" stands for isolation, "P/R" stands for pick-and-roll (ball-handler), "Post" stands for post-ups, "Spot" stands for spot-ups.  Iguodala's average ranking for these stats was 10th, but note that his overall ranking ("PPP All") was 3rd, meaning that he was strong in the areas that mattered most, challenging jump shots ("PPP Spot," 2nd) and playing the ballhandler in the P/R (6th).  Interestingly, Iguodala was much worse than Jrue in post defense (0.98 PPP vs. Jrue's 0.70).

AI9 Rank Avg Best Worst
PPP All 0.81 3t 0.89 0.76 1.06
PPP Iso 0.85 20 0.80 0.48 0.98
PPP P/R 0.70 6 0.77 0.33 0.99
PPP Post 0.98 19t 0.51 0.68 1.19
PPP Spot 0.82 2 0.98 0.80 1.16


Overall, Iguodala ranked above average compared to his fellow starting SFs.  If all categories were weighted the same, the average ranking would be about 11th.  But one could argue (and I do) that in many important categories (PER, PER difference, Win Shares, On Court/Off Court, passing, overall defense), he was top five.  I've been a Sixer fan in the Internet Blogging Age long enough to know that no amount of numerical evidence will convince a certain segment of the populace of a given player's merits (there are many who only believe statistics that align with their already-formed opinions).  So I present the above analysis (and the original raw spreadsheet -- see attached) without any further comment, save one:  I had no idea when I "joined" this blog that its title would be so appropriate.  Have at it in the comments.
by Statman on Jun 13 2011
Tags: Andre Iguodala | Basketball | Sixers | Statman | Stats |