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Could the Lottery Matter?

http://www.depressedfan.com/assets_c/2010/04/nbalottery042310-thumb-350x196-12383.jpg
Probably not. But let's take a look at it anyway. The Sixers don't have a horse in this race, obviously, but plenty of teams who they could possibly be looking to deal with will be focused on those lottery balls. A quick look to follow.

This was a much more exciting night a year ago, but there still could be some noteworthy things to happen. Here's a quick look at the teams in the lottery and their placement:

  1. Timberwolves
  2. Cavaliers
  3. Raptors
  4. Wizards
  5. Kings
  6. Jazz
  7. Pistons
  8. Cavaliers
  9. Bobcats
  10. Bucks
  11. Warriors
  12. Jazz
  13. Suns
  14. Rockets

As far as I'm concerned, moving up is only worthwhile if you can come of this draft with Derrick Williams, Bismack Biyombo or possible Enes Kanter, in that order. I'm not terribly high on Kanter, but depending on the price, I wouldn't have winding up with him. At least he'd provide a guy with some upside in the front court.

Since those are the three guys I'm targeting, this lottery is really only interesting through the first seven picks. It's an odd lottery in that two teams have two lottery picks, with Cleveland holding two top ten picks if the lotto plays out according to the odds. I think the best way to move up is either to identify a team that wants out of the top ten entirely and would be willing to trade for #16 and next year's first rounder. If that's the case, Biyombo or Williams needs to be the return. One team to keep an eye on is the Cavs, if they either wind up with two picks in the top three, or see their better pick fall out of the top three, they could be discouraged and willing to move the #4 or #5 pick for future value. I'm not sure many teams will see much of a dropoff from the top two down to #10. Utah is another team to keep an eye on with their two picks, and Washington strikes me as a team willing to move out (they traded out when they could've had Curry and/or Rubio a couple of years ago).

After the lottery, when the order is set, the mock drafts will get refined with some actual reporting behind them. Teams will start working guys out and we'll get a better idea as to which picks may be available, and what the asking price is. Tonight's lottery drawing doesn't mean a whole lot, it's just the first step in the process leading to the only basketball-related activity we know for sure will happen this summer.
by Brian on May 17 2011
Tags: Basketball | NBA Draft Lottery | Sixers |