DFDepressed FanDepressed Fan

All  

Sixers

, all the time

Iguodala as Point-Forward

http://www.depressedfan.com/assets_c/2010/02/IguodalaOnTheBreak102309-thumb-350x300-11058-thumb-350x300-11059-thumb-350x300-11943-thumb-350x300-11989.jpg
It's been 15 games since Andre Iguodala was given a greater share of the team's initiating responsibilities. Over that time, the Sixers have won 11 and dropped only 4. Let's take a closer look at what the change has meant for the team.

Let's start with a look a bunch of numbers, we'll compare the past 15 games vs. the previous 35 games in which Iguodala played (leaving out the game he did not play to compare like things). We're looking at team advanced stats (four factors, OFR, DFR and Pace), team simple stats, per 48 minutes, and then Iguodala's personal stats, per-36-minutes. The right column shows the improvement or decline in each statistical category:

ai9pf030711.gif
OK, so let's work our way from bottom to top. Iguodala's shooting numbers from the floor have dropped, pretty much across the board, which makes some sense when you think about it. He's getting fewer catch-and-shoot opportunities when he has the ball in his hands, and he's definitely a better shooter with his feet set underneath him. The positive from a scoring perspective is that he's getting to the line more, and hitting a good percentage of his freebies (79.7% after, 67.3% before). His rebounding has improved and his assist numbers have improved dramatically, while his assist-to-turnover ratio has gone from very good to excellent.

The team's scoring in this 15-game sample has improved by leaps and bounds (103.3 pts/48m from 95.8 pts/48M) they're turning the ball over less, as well. I'm a bit surprised their assists/made field goals has dropped, but it's only dropped slightly.

When we get into the advanced stats, you can really see the improvement. Offensively, it's pretty much across the board, with a significant leap in eFG and free-throw rate. Turnover rate is down, which is good, and offensive rebounding is pretty much flat, which you'd expect. Defensively, the Sixers have improved as well, though I'm not sure how this change would really influence that improvement at all (unless it's meant fewer minutes for Lou, which is a possibility). The greatest improvement on the defensive end is the dramatic drop in opponent's free throw rate and the jump in defensive rebounding rate. If I had to guess as to the reasons behind these improvements, I'd say it's a familiarity with the principles of Collins' defensive scheme. Earlier in the season, when breakdowns happened, the team would foul rather than give up layups. Now, there are fewer breakdowns, so fewer reasons to foul to cover up.

Overall, the team has played some inspired basketball since this adjustment, but the schedule has also been pretty kind. Of the 15 games, 7 have been against teams at or above .500. In those games, the Sixers have a 3-4 record. They've gone 8-0 against sub-.500 teams over the same stretch.

What do you guys think? After 15 games, would you call the Iguodala as point-forward experiment a success? Iguodala also has three triple-doubles over the stretch, if that adds any weight to argument.
by Brian on Mar 7 2011
Tags: Andre Iguodala | Basketball | Sixers |