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Way back in September, frequent reader/commenter Joe came up with a great idea for using a couple of advanced stats to try to predict the Sixers win total for the 2010-2011 season. I ran the numbers and came up with a bleak picture for what to expect. Well, now it's time to complete the picture and see where individual Sixers exceeded expectations.
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Latest comment: from Brian
Yes and yes....
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We've identified the stats, we've examined their validity as recording stats and we've also taken a glimpse at their performance as predictors for the Sixers over the past four seasons. Today, we're going use the available data to see what each stat says about the 2010-2011 Sixers.
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Latest comment: from Joe
2. You are overstating diminishing returns. Berri has plenty of posts up on the subject....
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In part one of the series we took a look at Wins Produced and Win Shares, then put them through their paces a bit in a retroactive way. Now it's time to test them out in a forward-looking way. Warning, math talk ahead.
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If Elton Brand bounces back...If Evan Turner can turn into a legit number one...If Jrue Holiday makes a leap...If Spencer Hawes suddenly isn't a complete waste of space...If Andres Nocioni returns to his form of six seasons ago...If Doug Collins can get the front court to suddenly change their stripes and learn to defend. Pretty much every optimistic outlook on this team for 2010-2011 starts with one of those ifs. After the jump, and throughout the next couple of posts, we're going to take a look at what to expect if a miracle doesn't happen.
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To be more specific, how much can we expect from Evan Turner this season. Forget about PPG, RPG, minutes. I want to take a look at what rookies over the past couple seasons have produced in a more meaningful way for their teams, and then we can take a guess as to where Turner will slot in among them.
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