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A.J., A.J., He's Our Man...

giveajtheball1127.jpgI wanted to write this post after the game ended on Sunday night, but I thought I'd give myself a day or so to reflect. Today, I spent 8 hours driving or floating my way back to Brooklyn, and those 8 hours of soul-searching left me feeling no different than I did right after the game.

As much as it pains me to say this, Donovan McNabb should not be the Eagles quarterback going forward. Jeff Garcia's success last season, and A.J. Feeley's success over the past game and a half have finally proven that fact to me. While Donovan will always have a warm spot in my heart for the 4 consecutive NFC Championship appearances, 1 Super Bowl appearance, countless gutsy performances and classy manner in which he held one of the toughest jobs in sports, it's time for this team to move on.

In no world is A.J. Feeley a better athlete than McNabb. In no world is A.J. Feeley a better quarterback than McNabb, based on skills alone. You can't say Feeley is a better leader, he hasn't had to prove he can lead yet. That being said, A.J. Feeley is the best option the Eagles have to play the quarterback position for the rest of this season. Next year, it's going to have to be Kevin Kolb.

We all saw what happened when McNabb went down last year. Jeff Garcia took this team on an unbelievable run to the playoffs, and through the Giants into the second round. Everyone talked about how gutsy he was, and how he was a natural leader, and how he inspired his teammates. At the time, I said a QB controversy for this season was ridiculous. The Eagles' O scored plenty of points when McNabb was under center, and I think most of the credit for the late-season run belonged to Brian Westbrook. This year, I'm singing a different tune altogether. I think the reason Garcia succeeded last year, and the reason Feeley has succeeded so far this year goes back to something Bill Walsh said years ago when he first created this offense. The QB doesn't really matter. All he has to be able to do is go through his progressions and make accurate, timely throws.

This offense is designed to confuse defenses, and be run systematically. QBs are given three or ever four options, if one isn't there they check down to the next option. McNabb doesn't go through these progressions, in some cases, other times he goes through them too quickly. If Kevin Curtis isn't open on the deep out pattern, he immediately checks down to Westbrook out of the backfield, never looks to the opposite side to see if Reggie Brown has broken free. I've blamed a lot on the Eagles receivers this season, and I think I owe them an apology. They're open when Feeley's playing, they were probably open when McNabb was playing as well, he just didn't have the patience in the pocket to find them, or he was locked on to one guy, then checked down. This is hard to quantify without having the game film in front of me, but every week the replays seemed to show Reggie Brown breaking wide open and McNabb never even looking his way.

This brings us to the second part of the equation: delivering accurate, timely throws. McNabb cannot do this. He just can't. How many times does he bounce passes at the feet of wide-open receivers? If this was a strict vertical passing offense, that would be fine. You miss a couple guys, you make up for it with a deep bomb, but this is not that offense. This is a West-Coast offense, which utilizes high-percentage short passes as a substitute for a running game. Missing wide open guys kills drives. That 6-yard hook on 2nd down has to be completed to make 3rd down manageable. When it's bounced, you're stuck in third and long situations. The offense gets guys open for short gains in the passing game, having a QB who can't deliver the ball is just stupid, to be honest with you.

A.J. Feeley played a great game on Sunday night, a great game with two huge mistakes, but a great game nonetheless. The difference between what he did and what McNabb has done thus far this year is that Feeley played within the offense, and delivered the ball where it was supposed to be, when it was supposed to be there. That's all you need to do as a QB in a well-designed West Coast offense. When you take Brian Westbrook into consideration, the QB's job should be that much easier.

Don't get me wrong. I'm not saying McNabb is finished and he should retire. I'm not saying he won't go somewhere else and make the Pro Bowl next year. I'm definitely not saying that A.J. Feeley is a legit starting QB in this league. What I'm saying is that playing Feeley at QB is the best option the Eagles have to effectively run their offense for the rest of this season. The offense doesn't play to McNabb's strengths, and McNabb can't bend his style into the offense.

Obviously, this begs the question: Why was McNabb so good in this offense for so long? The answer is pretty simple. When McNabb was mobile, he made plays with his feet. He'd either pick up huge chunks of yardage running the ball, or he'd escape pressure and cause the defense to scramble. The only year he really dominated from the pocket was the Super Bowl year, when T.O. was at wide receiver. With T.O., McNabb could air the ball out and score from anywhere on the field. He didn't have to play within the offense and painstakingly put together drives when he had a deep threat like that. This year, he doesn't have his legs or his consistent deep threat, all he has is this ingenious offense. Unfortunately, he's the wrong guy to run it.





5 Comments | Leave a comment

Fair points... but how much of this is the fault of Reid?

No one knows McNabb's strengths and weaknesses better than him. It's his offense. It's his QB. The offense MAGICALLY was one of the NFL's best when it had TO. Maybe that should tell Head Coach Reid or Front Office Reid that that's what you need to take advantage of McNabb's strengths.

McNabb's been put in a position to fail time and time again... I'm not disagreeing with your point. There may be better QBs to run this offense. But how many potentially-great QBs are there out there? 8? 6? And McNabb is one of them. You don't just toss those aside. You change your personnel accordingly.

Nick,

I don't disagree with you at all. Reid does have to take a great deal of the blame. Unfortunately, there's no way to fix the surrounding personnel this year, so you have to go with the QB who gives you the best shot to win with the WRs you have, and that's not McNabb.

After the season the team is going to have to take a long, hard look at their personnel. If they want this to be McNabb's team, they need to get him a legit playmaker at the WR position and change their passing philosophy, again. Unfortunately for McNabb, I think if they take an honest look at things, they're going to realize that the most cost-effective way to make this team better is to trade McNabb and use a QB who will run the system, because last year and this last game have shown that they have adequate pieces to put points on the board using this system right now.

I also just want to reiterate that it really pains me to write about this. I've defended McNabb more times than I could count in the past, I just think we've reached the point where he isn't the right guy for this team, or maybe this team isn't the right situation for him.

Brian,
I actually like and agree with this more than anything else I think I've read about the QB controversy. Too many people are going revisionist history on us and acting like McNabb was never good, or he was only good when TO was here.

I wish I could remember back to the 2003 season and more clearly picture what McNabb was doing differently. His receivers were not as good as the ones we have now, in my (and probably everyone's) opinion, but once the cast came off his thumb, McNabb played probably the best, most consistent football he's ever played outside of 2004.

Did he get rid of the ball more quickly during that nine-game winning streak? Was he more like Feeley was Sunday night? Or was he doing the things he's doing wrong now (holding the ball too long, not throwing into tight spots), but still had the athleticism to buy time for Trash and Stinkston to get open?

I don't know, but it seemed like McNabb ran the offense very well during that period. Not a lot of big plays, just consistent, well run West-Coast Offense. I went to the Dallas game that year, which the Eagles won 36-10. There's not a single offensive play from that game that is remembered by anyone who wasn't there. No highlight reel stuff, just an efficient offensive machine.

I'm wondering if 2004 ruined McNabb forever. If he got too addicted to the big play, because he had a big-play guy, that now he can't adjust his style of play back to what it needs to be. Maybe it's just the loss of athleticism, but he's been pretty mobile lately, and his inconsistency this year seems to go beyond his knee.

McNabb has been very inconsistent since the superbowl, along with being physically banged up. It just seemed that even early in '06, when Donovan was playing well, that the offense seemed sort of feast or famine. The Lito Sheppard Dallas Game is the perfect example, there weren't long, sustained drives. The Eagles got either three-and-outs, or quick strike scores by Baskett and Brown (plus a big YAC play by LJ that shifted field position).

I'm in no rush to run my favorite Eagle ever out of town, but seeing the team execute the offense better with both Garcia, and with Feeley, who I don't think is nearly as talented as either McNabb or Garcia, I think there just might be reason to believe that the Eagles won't be as lost without him as I'd feared.

(Also, just wanted to add that although I enjoy the blog, I'm probably more depressed than you, since I'm an Eagles fan and a Baltimore Orioles fan)

BrianS:

Thanks for the comment, and sorry about the O's.

If I had to put my finger on the difference between McNabb now and McNabb in 2003, I don't think it's purely a physical thing. Yes, he isn't as mobile now as he was then, but he isn't exactly immobile. He can still move around back there. It seems to me like he doesn't have the confidence in the pocket he used to. He seems to get happy feet, and rush his throws. It's like he's expecting to get hit, and worrying whether this hit will be the one that puts him out again.

McNabb was easily a top 5 QB in the league for that 4-year stretch. Who knows, maybe he will be again, I just don't see it happening here, with this offense and this team. It's a sad time of transition for Eagles fans, I'm afraid.

I agree with your points Brian. I'd add that it appears that McNabb, in addition to being unable to make plays with his running ability, is less accurate than he was in 2004. Perhaps the injuries have also affected his ability to accurately throw the ball.


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