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, all the time

SML was the first to pull his preseason baseball predictions out and see how he did. Now, it's my turn.

We'll go over the NL First. You can find my original predictions here.

N.L. East
Predicted - Padres, Giants, Dodgers, D-Backs, Rockies
Actual - D-Backs, Padres/Rockies, Dodgers, Giants

Hmmn. I had the Padres winning the division and the Giants taking the Wild Card out of this division. Let's just say I was horribly mistaken and leave it at that. The Giants were possibly the worst team in the league, and the Bonds' HR chase only made for a less competitive team on the field. Ownership seemed content to milk that circus for all it was worth, let him fill the seats by himself, and do a half-assed rebuild on the fly.

I didn't think the D-Backs were legit, and I still don't. A team that gets outscored by 20 runs on the season is not good. They just aren't. Yes, Brandon Webb can shut down any team, on any given night. With their anemic offense, that probably won't be enough come playoff time.

Grade: D.

N.L. Central
Predicted - Cubs, Astros, Cards, Brewers, Reds, Pirates
Actual - Cubs, Brewers, Cards, Astros, Reds, Pirates

Much better here. I flip-flopped the Astros and Brewers, but predicted the fall-off for the Cards. The Cubbies came on strong in "the division no one wanted to win," and put away a Brewers team that peaked in April and somehow managed to cling to life for the next 5 months.

The Cubs are one of the two teams I see as having a legit shot at making the series, and it's not because I think they're good. It's because all but one team is really, really bad.

Grade: A-

N.L. East
Predicted - Phillies, Mets, Braves, Marlins, Nationals
Actual - Phillies, Mets, Braves, Marlins, Nationals

I had this one 100% dead on. I didn't exactly predict it would end with all the drama, but all's well that ends well from where I sit. My fantasy sleeper of the year, Shane Victorino, lived up to the hype as well. Here's my quote: "He (Victorino) could swipe 40 bases and score 100 runs sandwiched between Rollins and Utley in this lineup." He fell short of those numbers, due to a late-season injury, but still put up a respectable 37 SBs, 12 HRs, and 78 runs scored. Not bad for a 23rd round pick.

Grade: A+

Before the season I picked the Padres to represent the N.L. in the series. Now, I'm taking the Phils. They're the hottest team in the league, the only team with a legitimate lineup. They have the two hottest hitters in the league, and Hamels is right up there with Peavy and Zambrano. I think they win the N.L.D.S. in 4, then the N.L.C.S. over the Cubs in 6. Hamels is the key, and MVP of the N.L.C.S.

My American League predictions can be found here. Let's jump right in.

A.L. West
Predicted - Oakland A's, LAAofA, Rangers, Mariners
Actual - LAAofA, Seattle, Oakland, Texas

OK, I am not good at predicting what happens on the left coast. I had the Angles making the playoffs, but as the Wild Card, and I didn't think this would finally be the year that Moneyball fell flat on its face for the A's. Alas, the A's finished below .500, and Seattle challenged for the division into early September.

Grade: D-

A.L. Central
Predicted - Indians, Twins, Tigers, White Sox, Royals
Actual - Indians, Tigers, Twins, White Sox, Royals

I swapped the Twins and the Tigers, but otherwise nailed this division. The Tigers completely faded from the picture down the stretch, the same way they did last year. I expected more out of the Twins, but their ace just wasn't his usual dominant self, and the rest of the pitching staff was too young, and too bad.

My one specific prediction, "The Chisox will implode, and Guillen will get fired." was 100% accurate. Guillen absolutely should've been fired, but for some reason he wasn't.

Grade: B

A.L. East
Predicted - Yanks, Jays, Sox, Orioles, D-Rays
Actual - Sox, Yanks, Jays, Orioles, D-Rays

Yes, I picked the Yanks. I know, it was a shocking pick. The Sox held on and predictions like, "Josh Beckett can't handle the A.L." don't quite seem prescient at this point. The Yankee-specific predictions I made, however, stand the test of time.
The Yanks have the young talent waiting in the wings, and their regulars are old enough to dictate a couple timely call ups. The hunger they bring to the lineup will energize the well-fed veterans.
Grade: B-

Before the season, I took the Angles over the Yanks in the A.L.D.S. Luckily, they won't be facing their nemesis in a short series. I hate to make post-season predictions on the Yanks, but here goes.

Yankees over Cleveland in 4. Angels over Boston in 5 (Escobar > Dice-K/Schilling twice). Yanks over Rally Monkeys in 6. Yanks over Phillies in the series.

by Brian on Oct 1 2007
Tags: Predictions | The Vault |